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Citi: BOC HONG KONG (02388.HK) 3Q Non-interest Income Soft; Impairment Provisions Above Expectations
2026-11-02 13:52:01
Citi published a research report stating that BOC HONG KONG (02388.HK) reported net profit of HKD10.8 billion for 3Q26, down 9% QoQ and up 14% YoY, equivalent to 77% of full-year market expectations. Operating profit was HKD12.5 billion, down 9% QoQ and up 13% YoY, missing the broker's forecast by 7%, mainly dragged by soft non-interest income and heavier impairment provisions.

The broker noted that revenue was HKD18.7 billion, down 6% QoQ and up 9% YoY, 2% below its forecast due to weaker fee and trading income. Adjusted net interest income rose 1% QoQ and 5% YoY to HKD15.1 billion, driven by balance sheet growth; loans increased 1% QoQ and 7% YoY, while deposits rose 4% QoQ and 6% YoY. Adjusted NIM fell 3 bps QoQ to 1.52%. Fee income was HKD2.5 billion, down 12% YoY; other non-interest income was HKD1.2 billion, down 40% QoQ, mainly due to mark-to-market bond losses. Credit cost was 36 bps, 11 bps higher than the broker's forecast; the non-performing loan ratio edged up 4 bps QoQ to 0.93%. The company declared a third interim dividend of HKD0.29 per share.

The broker believed that looking ahead, deposit competition may continue to be a headwind for 4Q26 NIM, while 2H26 credit costs may be slightly higher than its expectations, potentially leading to low single-digit earnings downgrades. The broker maintained its Buy rating and TP at HKD57.9, citing attractive valuation and a forecast dividend yield of 6% for 2027.(ad/da)~

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