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Bank J. Safra Sarasin Cuts Gold Allocation to Neutral, Maintains Slight Overweight on Equities
2026-07-03 13:09:59
Bank J. Safra Sarasin FX strategist Claudio Wewel wrote in an article that a stronger USD has cooled the equity market rally.

He said AI remains a key driver of US economic growth. However, amid a more hawkish stance from central banks, a stronger USD and elevated equity valuations, investors should remain cautious in taking risks and adopt a more selective strategy.

The rally in global risk assets gradually weakened in June, with global equities peaking on 2 June. As the Strait of Hormuz reopened and oil prices retreated to pre-war levels, market focus shifted from the Iran situation to monetary policy. The first Federal Reserve meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh triggered a hawkish repricing in the interest rate market, lifting the USD exchange rate.

After a volatile June, global equities broadly closed back at early-month levels. Given the positive macro outlook and continued earnings growth, the bank maintained a slight overweight on equities. However, it adjusted portfolio allocations by rotating funds from emerging markets to developed-market companies to lock in gains from the strong rally over recent months, while addressing the challenges posed by high interest rates and a stronger USD to emerging markets.

The bank lowered its gold allocation to Neutral. The environment of elevated interest rates and a stronger USD means precious metals may struggle to regain upward momentum in the near term.
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AASTOCKS Financial News
Website: www.aastocks.com